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US Logistics Sector Grows for 2nd Month
The Logistics Manager’s Index in the United States increased to 52.4 in September 2023, pointing to the second consecutive month of expansion and the strongest growth in the logistics sector in seven months. The largest contributions came from warehousing capacity (-3.4 to 57.3), warehousing utilization (+3.1 to 60.9) and warehousing prices (+7.9 to 71.2). Also, transportation utilization moved to expansion (+3.5 to 53.5) and transportation prices (+0.6 to 4.35) slowed less. Conversely, inventory levels (-0.5 to 47.4) and inventory costs (-4.5 to 64.6) contracted at a faster pace. It is possible the index will slide back into contraction in the face of a potential government shutdown and the UAW strikes. However, strong rates of growth are generally observed in the fourth quarter, so seasonally speaking, it would be unusual to see a move back towards contraction through the rest of 2023.Brazil Industrial Production Rebounds in August
Industrial production in Brazil rose by 0.4% from the previous month in August of 2023, missing market estimates of a 0.5% increase but rebounding from the 0.6% decline in the previous month. The result was consistent with other reports that reflected robustness in the Brazilian industrial sector during the period, despite elevated real rates from the central bank. Output rose in 18 of the 25 industrial branches, led by pharmaceutical products (18.6%), automobiles and parts (5.2%), and computers and electronics (16.6%). On the other hand, further gains were capped by lower production in extractive industries (-2.7%). From the previous year, industrial production rose by 0.5%.Mexican Fixed Investment Growth Hits Over 2-Year High
Gross fixed investment in Mexico soared by 29.1% year-on-year in July of 2023, slightly below consensus of 29.9% but still the largest increase since the pandemic recovery in May of 2021, from a 28.8% increase in the previous month. Fixed investment rose significantly for construction (37.4%), as a surge in non-residential construction (71.1%) offset a smaller growth in residential construction (3.5%). In the meantime, fixed investment in machinery and industrial equipment advanced by 19.8%, with growth seen in imported machinery (21.3%) and domestically produced machinery (17.5%). On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, gross fixed investment in Mexico advanced by 0.5%.Canola Trades at Over Three-Month Low
Canola futures were trading at around CAD 710 per tonne, remaining near their lowest in over three months, due to increased supply. Favorable warm weather and lack of precipitation in most areas are supporting robust harvesting operations in the Canadian Prairies. In Manitoba, the overall harvest is 76% complete, 12 points above the five-year average. Also, Statistics Canada reported Canada’s second largest August canola crush on record, 829,490 tonnes of the oilseed, only behind the 830,335 tonnes in August 2020. Still, despite strong canola crush margins, this year's production is anticipated to be significantly lower than the previous year's record of 18.7 million tonnes in 2022-23. In September, Statistics Canada estimated that canola production would amount to 17.4 million tons, which represents a 7% decrease compared to the previous year and is the second-smallest crop in nine years.Heating Oil Futures Fall to 4-Week Low
Heating oil futures dipped below $3.15 per gallon, marking their lowest point in four weeks, as oil prices fell and recent data showed an unexpected rise in stocks. WTI crude oil futures fell from their peak of $95 per barrel to below $90, influenced by factors such as a stronger US dollar, a dimming global macroeconomic outlook, and mixed signals in the supply market. Meanwhile, the latest data from the EIA showed that distillate stockpiles, including diesel and heating oil, increased by 398 thousand barrels during the week ending September 22nd rebounding from a 2.867 million barrel draw in the previous period and defying market expectations of a 1.298 million barrel draw.Bahrain Consumer Prices Unchanged in August
Consumer prices in Bahrain remained stable in August, following a 0.1% decline in the previous month. Prices climbed for food products (8.5% vs 7.6% in July), while rebounded for recreation & culture (2.3% vs -0.7%). On the other hand, cost continued to decline for housing & utilities (-3.5% vs -3.1%), restaurants & hotels (-3.7% vs -1.2%), clothing & footwear (-4.5% vs -7%), alcoholic beverages & tobacco (-4.9% vs -4.8%) and transport (-0.3% vs -0.6%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose by 0.3% in August, after a prior 0.4% hike.Palladium Hits Near 5-year Low
Palladium decreased to a near 5-year low of 1179 USD/t.ozAluminum Eases from 5-Month High
Aluminum futures eased toward the $2,300 per tonne mark after touching the five-month high of $2,347 on September 29th, tracking the decline for other base metals as the outlook of a hawkish Fed lifted the US dollar and hampered industrial sentiment. Still, supply concerns limited the downturn. China, the world’s top producer and responsible for more than half of global output, halted the expansion of production capacity beyond the current limit of 45 million tons as Beijing attempts to prevent oversupply and higher energy consumption from old, inefficient infrastructure. Simultaneously, Indonesia's ban on bauxite exports, the chief commercial ore of aluminum, also risked output. The developments were last evidenced by a 13% week-on-week reduction in deliverable stocks at the Shanghai Futures Exchange in the final week of September.Sensex Declines On Tuesday
The BSE Sensex closed 0.48% lower at 65,512 on Tuesday, mainly dragged by the automotive sector after disappointing auto sales reports for September. Auto multinational Eicher Motors reported a 4% decline in sales for September, while conglomerate Escorts Kubota recorded an 11.2% year-on-year decrease in tractor sales, although its construction equipment division saw a sharp growth of 51.8%. Meanwhile, mining company Vedanta announced it would sale its steel assets by March 2024, in order to reduce overall debt, following last week's decision to separate into various commodity-focused companies to strengthen financial indicators. Among individual stocks, Maruti Suzuki, NTPC, and Tata Motors were the biggest laggards, falling 2.5%, 1.8%, and 1.6%, respectively. Conversely, Bajaj Finance was the top performer, rising 2%. Meanwhile, the Nifty 50 index fell 0.56% to 19,529.Portugal Industrial Production Shrinks for 6th Month
Industrial production in Portugal dropped 4% year-on-year in August 2023, following a downwardly revised 2.8% decrease in the previous month. Production fell more for consumer goods (-5.5% vs -3% in July) and intermediate goods (-8.3% vs -5.6%). On the other hand, the output of investment goods increased at a faster pace (2% vs 1.6%), while the production of energy rebounded (2.5% vs -0.5%). On a monthly basis, industrial production was up 0.7%, following an upwardly revised 0.6% increase in the prior month.The Blue Suisse Trading Account with virtual funds in a risk-free environment
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