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Euro Area Posts Trade Gap for 5th Month
The Euro Area recorded a €16.4 billion trade gap in March, compared to a €22.5 billion surplus a year earlier. The deficit in energy trade almost tripled to €128.7 billion in the first three months of the year, as the war in Ukraine exacerbated an existing energy crisis in Europe, sending energy prices even higher. Imports soared 35.4% to a record high of €266.5 billion while exports increased at a softer 14% to €250.1 billion, also a record value. The European Union's trade deficit with Russia more than quadrupled to €45.2 billion in the first quarter and the trade gap with China, the biggest trading partner, almost doubled to €91.9 billion.Croatia Inflation Rate at Record High
The annual inflation rate in Croatia accelerated to 9.4 percent in April of 2022, the highest on record, from 7.3 percent in the previous month as the war in Ukraine continued to pressure prices for energy and agricultural commodities. Main upward pressure came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (12.8 percent vs 10.8 percent), housing and utilities (8.8 percent vs 3.8 percent), and transportation (16.4 percent vs 14.4 percent). Prices also picked up for furnishings and household maintenance (9.9 percent vs 8.4 percent), restaurants and hotels (11.1 percent vs 7.9 percent), and clothing and footwear (7.5 percent vs 5.2 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose by 2.6 percent, also the steepest increase on record, accelerating from a 2.1 percent increase in the prior month.European Commission Cuts Eurozone Growth Forecasts
The European Commission revised the EU’s growth outlook downwards, and the forecast for inflation upward as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine exerts further upward pressures on commodity prices, causing renewed supply disruptions and increasing uncertainty. Real GDP growth in both the EU and the Euro Area is now expected at 2.7% in 2022 and 2.3% in 2023, down from 4.0% and 2.8% (2.7% in the Euro Area), respectively, in the Winter 2022 interim Forecast. Inflation in the Euro Area is projected at 6.1% in 2022 (vs 3.5% previously), before falling to 2.7% in 2023. Inflation is expected to peak at 6.9% in the second quarter of this year and decline gradually thereafter. For the EU, inflation is expected to increase from 2.9% in 2021 to 6.8% in 2022, and fall back to 3.2% in 2023. Average core inflation is projected above 3% in 2022 and 2023 in both the EU and the euro area.China Bond Yield Hovers at 2.8%, Investors Remain Cautious
The yield on China's 10-year government bond hovered around 2.8% since mid-February, after touching two-year lows of 2.67% in January, as investors weigh signs of a slowing economy and prospects of a more aggressive tightening by the Federal Reserve. Partial or full lockdowns in several cities, including Beijing and Shanghai severely hurt consumer spending and disrupted industrial production. An ongoing property debt crisis and several defaults at developers including the Evergrande Group also added to concerns about the economic recovery, despite pledges for sustained support from the PBoC. At the same time, the Fed is set to tight monetary policy faster and the interest differential on Chinese and US government debt yields has narrowed, decreasing the appeal of buying riskier Chinese assets.Madrid Stocks Edge Up
The Ibex 35 was trading slightly higher around 8,361 on Monday afternoon, tracking a cautious sentiment across international markets, amid fears of slowing global growth on the back of weaker-than-expected economic data from China. At the same time, the European Commission has announced that it lowered the euro area economic growth forecast for 2022 to 2.7% from February's forecast of 4%. Among single stocks, ArcelorMittal was leading the gains while IAG dragged the most.Naphtha Struggles for Traction
Naphtha futures bottomed around the $920-per-tonne mark, now roughly 20% below a decade-high of $1,121.72 hit in early March, as bearish demand prospects offset supply concerns related to sanctions against Russia’s oil sector. China’s economy continued to struggle with lockdown measures in several cities, namely Shanghai, which accounts for about 4% of the nation’s oil consumption.Heating Oil Eases Below $4
Heating oil futures traded below $4 a gallon, but remained not far from record levels seen at above $4.3 in March as traders assessed downside risks to oil demand and tight supplies. According to the EIA, domestic inventories of distillate fuels, which include heating oil and substitutes, shrank for the fifth time in a row in the week ending May 6th. Current levels are the lowest in 17 years, as refining capacity remained below pre-pandemic levels, and higher domestic and overseas demand drained stocks. Additionally, prospects that the EU could soon approve a Russian oil embargo strengthened the outlook for US heating oil exports.Israel Inflation Rate at Near 11-Year High
Israel’s annual inflation rate rose to 4 percent in April of 2022, from 3.5 percent in the prior month and matching market forecasts, moving further away from the Bank of Israel’s annual target range for inflation of 1 percent to 3 percent. That was the highest rate since June of 2011, propelled by prices of transportation & communication (7 percent vs 5 percent in March); food (4.7 percent vs 4.8 percent); education, culture and entertainment (3.3 percent vs 2.8 percent) and housing (3.4 percent vs 3.3 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices inched up by 0.8 percent, following a 0.6 percent increase in the prior month, in line with market estimates.Italian Stocks Start Week Muted
The FTSE MIB index hovered around the flatline at the 24,050 level on Monday, as global recession fears offset strong performances in the energy and utilities sectors, while investors continued to digest corporate earnings results. Saipem and Tenaris were both over 3% higher, leading the energy sector as EU states continue to pressure Hungary to accept its flexible terms to the EU’s collective embargo on Russian oil. At the same time, Interpump Group shares surged over 6% following the manufacturer’s strong results for the first quarter. Still, tech stocks and the consumer discretionary goods sector booked declines, as Covid restrictions in China pressured industrial production and retail sales to fall, further spurring growth concerns. Nexi traded 2% lower, while Moncler fell more than 1%.Turkey Budget Deficit Widens in March
Turkey's government deficit widened to TRY 50.1 billion in April 2022 from TRY 16.9 billion in the same month last year. Total expenditure surged to TRY 214.2 billion vs. TRY 110.7 billion a year ago as the country was in the midst of the slumping lira and jumping inflation, while revenues were set at TRY 116.1 billion compared to TRY 93.79 billion in April 2021.Symbol | Bid | Ask | Change |
1.05636
|
1.05639
|
0.00077
|
|
137.514
|
137.526
|
-0.059
|
|
130.184
|
130.196
|
-0.166
|
|
1.23379
|
1.23388
|
0.00121
|
|
0.99278
|
0.99289
|
-0.00033
|
|
737.08
|
737.37
|
12.33
|
|
2233.08
|
2234.56
|
22.2
|
|
11802.92
|
11804.82
|
-216.5
|
|
1844.526
|
1844.744
|
-7.214
|
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